Punch Drunk Wonderland

Fantasy Analysis: 2013 Defensive Back PPSnap Review

Barry ChurchDefensive Backs are often frustrating when it comes to production relevant for fantasy football. Most of them are very much boom/bust. This is particularly true for cornerbacks. In fact, corners who are considered good “cover corners” often have virtually no significant fantasy stats unless they happen to rack up some passes defensed. This is precisely why safeties are typically considered the more consistent fantasy IDP option among defensive backs. “In the box” safeties and safeties who frequently are involved in blitz packages are the ones that give us fantasy success by amassing tackles and sacks. Interceptions are an anomalous stat because they are so haphazard. Often more luck or right-time-right-place than skill.

With all of that said, there are ways to quantify the success and consistency of your defensive back IDPs once we have enough data. Now that the 2013 season is in the books, we can starting digging into Points-Per-Snap (PPSnap) to find out who the stars were this season. Yesterday, I took a similar look at PPSnap for 3-Down Linebackers and 2013 Rookie Linebackers.

Below is a sortable table displaying PPSnap production for defensive backs in 2013 in both Tackle Heavy and Big Play formats. Dallas Cowboy safety, Barry Church, led both categories this season. You’ll also find strong performing rookies such as Tyrann Mathieu and Kenny Vaccaro. There are well known DB names near the top of the list such as Mark Brandon BoykinBarron, T.J. Ward, Eric Weddle, and Morgan Burnett, and there are also plenty of surprises. A name that might surprise some is that of Eagles cornerback Brandon Boykin as he also finished out the season with 0.20 PPSnap in big play formats. The table shows those DBs who played at least 50% of their team’s defensive snaps, and for that reason you’ll note that some household names such as Harrison Smith don’t appear because injury shortened their season.

One thing that’s easy to notice is that the distribution is pretty flat when it comes to defensive backs and analyzing Points-Per-Snap. That’s largely because of the nature of the position and current statistics that are considered key fantasy stats. As mentioned above, sacks and tackles are good, passes defensed are few and far between, and interceptions are haphazard. I’d love to see ways to give fantasy points to corners who cover well and prevent star WRs from getting catches, but that would be too complicated to tabulate. So, where are the elite when we look at what we have?  The way I see it, the dividing line is the 0.15 PPSnap mark for tackle heavy and 0.16 mark for big play formats. That gives us more or less the top 25 in each format. Obviously, when it comes to your fantasy IDPs…the higher PPSnap the better.

Table after the jump.

TH = Tackle Heavy; BP = Big Play

Player Tm G Pts (TH) PPSnap (TH) Pts (BP) PPSnap (BP)
Barry Church DAL 16 186.00 0.19 198.00 0.20
Mark Barron TB 14 139.50 0.17 152.50 0.19
Major Wright CHI 15 150.50 0.16 155.50 0.17
Robert McClain ATL 16 86.00 0.16 90.00 0.16
Brandon Boykin PHI 16 96.00 0.16 118.00 0.20
Kenny Vaccaro NO 14 125.50 0.16 138.50 0.18
Eric Weddle SD 16 151.50 0.16 163.50 0.17
T.J. Ward CLV 16 167.50 0.16 185.50 0.17
Corey Graham BLT 16 107.50 0.16 124.50 0.19
Morgan Burnett GB 13 129.00 0.16 130.00 0.16
Andrew Sendejo MIN 14 114.00 0.16 122.00 0.17
Tyrann Mathieu ARZ 13 119.50 0.16 134.50 0.18
Ryan Mundy NYG 13 100.00 0.16 108.00 0.17
Darius Butler IND 16 96.50 0.15 109.50 0.17
Charles Woodson OAK 16 150.50 0.15 164.50 0.16
Da’Norris Searcy BUF 16 101.50 0.15 117.50 0.17
Dee Milliner NYJ 13 101.50 0.15 111.50 0.16
Zackary Bowman CHI 15 84.50 0.15 98.50 0.17
Marcus Cooper KC 16 89.50 0.15 101.50 0.16
Brandon Meriweather WAS 13 108.00 0.15 120.00 0.17
John Cyprien JAX 15 152.50 0.15 162.50 0.16
D.J. Swearinger HST 16 111.50 0.15 123.50 0.16
LaRon Landry IND 12 112.50 0.15 114.50 0.15
Earl Thomas SEA 16 145.50 0.15 164.50 0.17
Richard Marshall SD 15 92.00 0.15 92.00 0.15
Duke Ihenacho DEN 15 108.50 0.15 116.50 0.16
Antoine Bethea IND 16 151.50 0.15 161.50 0.16
Trumaine Johnson SL 16 123.50 0.15 139.50 0.17
Josh Wilson WAS 16 130.50 0.14 144.50 0.15
Kam Chancellor SEA 16 132.50 0.14 146.50 0.15
Jeff Heath DAL 12 81.00 0.14 87.00 0.15
Michael Griffin TEN 14 118.00 0.14 125.00 0.14
Tashaun Gipson CLV 16 151.50 0.14 170.50 0.16
Rashad Johnson ARZ 13 85.50 0.14 94.50 0.16
James Ihedigbo BLT 16 148.50 0.14 166.50 0.16
Brandon Flowers KC 13 112.50 0.14 119.50 0.14
Antrel Rolle NYG 16 147.00 0.14 173.00 0.16
Aaron Williams BUF 14 121.00 0.14 137.00 0.16
Quintin Mikell CAR 14 89.50 0.14 100.50 0.15
Leonard Johnson TB 16 92.00 0.14 95.00 0.14
Bernard Pollard TEN 16 144.50 0.14 158.50 0.16
Eric Berry KC 15 131.50 0.14 157.50 0.16
DeAngelo Hall WAS 16 135.00 0.14 152.00 0.16
Mike Jenkins OAK 15 123.00 0.14 138.00 0.16
Dashon Goldson TB 13 104.50 0.14 111.50 0.14
William Moore ATL 16 135.00 0.13 156.00 0.16
Mike C. Adams DEN 15 87.00 0.13 92.00 0.14
Will Blackmon JAX 15 87.00 0.13 99.00 0.15
Captain Munnerlyn CAR 16 119.00 0.13 137.00 0.15
Logan Ryan NE 15 77.50 0.13 99.50 0.17
T.J. McDonald SL 10 82.00 0.13 91.00 0.15
Leodis McKelvin BUF 15 117.00 0.13 123.00 0.14
Reshad Jones MIA 16 144.50 0.13 153.50 0.14
Tramon Williams GB 16 130.50 0.13 150.50 0.15
Josh Robinson MIN 10 83.00 0.13 89.00 0.14
Xavier Rhodes MIN 13 83.50 0.13 84.50 0.13
Prince Amukamara NYG 16 138.50 0.13 149.50 0.14
Sam Shields GB 14 109.00 0.13 121.00 0.14
Rodney McLeod SL 16 131.00 0.13 142.00 0.14
Troy Polamalu PIT 16 131.00 0.13 158.00 0.15
Will Hill NYG 12 97.00 0.13 108.00 0.15
David Amerson WAS 16 83.50 0.13 92.50 0.14
Malcolm Jenkins NO 14 107.00 0.13 127.00 0.16
Jamarca Sanford MIN 13 98.00 0.13 102.00 0.13
Lardarius Webb BLT 16 123.00 0.13 131.00 0.14
Kyle Arrington NE 16 106.00 0.13 119.00 0.15
Cortez Allen PIT 14 84.50 0.13 91.50 0.14
Chris Conte CHI 16 133.50 0.13 145.50 0.14
Jairus Byrd BUF 11 78.00 0.13 94.00 0.16
Desmond Trufant ATL 16 122.50 0.13 131.50 0.14
Steve Gregory NE 14 102.00 0.13 104.00 0.13
Janoris Jenkins SL 16 115.50 0.12 121.50 0.12
Kareem Jackson HST 14 86.50 0.12 87.50 0.12
Terence Newman CIN 13 92.00 0.12 102.00 0.13
M.D. Jennings GB 16 91.00 0.12 96.00 0.13
Shiloh Keo HST 16 90.50 0.12 94.50 0.13
Shareece Wright SD 13 90.00 0.12 94.00 0.12
Eric Reid SF 16 111.50 0.12 123.50 0.13
Marcus Gilchrist SD 16 114.00 0.12 126.00 0.13
William Gay PIT 16 106.00 0.12 117.00 0.13
Ryan Clark PIT 16 127.50 0.12 133.50 0.13
Donte Whitner SF 16 115.50 0.12 126.50 0.13
Bradley Fletcher PHI 13 106.50 0.12 112.50 0.13
Tim Jennings CHI 16 116.50 0.12 134.50 0.13
Jerraud Powers ARZ 16 117.00 0.12 122.00 0.12
Dawan Landry NYJ 16 126.00 0.12 130.00 0.13
Trumaine McBride NYG 11 69.00 0.12 77.00 0.13
Nickell Robey BUF 16 71.00 0.12 90.00 0.16
Jimmy Wilson MIA 16 71.00 0.12 80.00 0.14
Alterraun Verner TEN 16 120.00 0.12 135.00 0.14
Melvin White CAR 14 78.00 0.12 86.00 0.13
Yeremiah Bell ARZ 16 121.50 0.12 134.50 0.13
Tramaine Brock SF 14 74.00 0.12 89.00 0.14
Matt Elam BLT 16 110.50 0.11 118.50 0.12
Devin McCourty NE 15 110.50 0.11 119.50 0.12
Chris Harris Jr. DEN 16 111.00 0.11 124.00 0.13
Chris D. Clemons MIA 16 115.50 0.11 120.50 0.11
Buster Skrine CLV 16 111.50 0.11 117.50 0.12
Glover Quin DET 16 100.50 0.11 117.50 0.12
Nate Allen PHI 16 116.50 0.11 123.50 0.12
Tracy Porter OAK 16 106.50 0.11 119.50 0.13
Brent Grimes MIA 16 117.00 0.11 130.00 0.12
Quintin Demps KC 16 66.00 0.11 78.00 0.13
Richard Sherman SEA 16 100.00 0.11 125.00 0.13
Michael Mitchell CAR 15 99.00 0.11 124.00 0.14
Chris Houston DET 12 79.50 0.11 86.50 0.12
Rahim Moore DEN 10 69.50 0.11 75.50 0.12
Adam Jones CIN 16 106.00 0.11 119.00 0.13
Orlando Scandrick DAL 16 112.50 0.11 126.50 0.12
Brandon Carr DAL 16 113.50 0.11 123.50 0.12
Jason McCourty TEN 16 107.50 0.11 112.50 0.11
Johnathan Joseph HST 15 87.00 0.11 97.00 0.12
Rashean Mathis DET 15 77.00 0.11 79.00 0.11
Patrick Chung PHI 12 76.00 0.11 77.00 0.11
Nolan Carroll MIA 15 87.00 0.11 100.00 0.13
Josh Evans JAX 15 73.50 0.11 73.50 0.11
Aqib Talib NE 13 81.00 0.10 96.00 0.12
Ike Taylor PIT 16 98.50 0.10 99.50 0.10
Jimmy Smith BLT 16 102.00 0.10 113.00 0.11
Louis Delmas DET 16 98.00 0.10 114.00 0.12
Stephon Gilmore BUF 11 61.00 0.10 67.00 0.11
Cary Williams PHI 16 110.50 0.10 121.50 0.11
Joe Haden CLV 15 104.00 0.10 116.00 0.11
George Iloka CIN 16 102.50 0.10 110.50 0.11
Brandian Ross OAK 16 96.00 0.10 101.00 0.11
Reggie Nelson CIN 15 96.00 0.10 109.00 0.12
Keenan Lewis NO 16 88.00 0.10 101.00 0.12
Darrelle Revis TB 16 87.50 0.10 101.50 0.11
Thomas DeCoud ATL 15 87.50 0.10 89.50 0.10
Jim Leonhard BUF 15 60.00 0.10 70.00 0.12
Chris Cook MIN 12 73.50 0.10 73.50 0.10
Vontae Davis IND 16 81.50 0.09 84.50 0.09
Johnthan Banks TB 16 78.50 0.09 89.50 0.10
Kendrick Lewis KC 16 92.50 0.09 98.50 0.10
Alan Ball JAX 15 91.50 0.09 97.50 0.10
Tarell Brown SF 13 65.00 0.09 65.00 0.09
Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie DEN 15 66.50 0.09 78.50 0.11
Alfonzo Dennard NE 13 65.50 0.09 68.50 0.10
Patrick Peterson ARZ 16 78.50 0.08 87.50 0.08
Sean Smith KC 16 79.50 0.08 85.50 0.09
Carlos Rogers SF 16 79.00 0.08 86.00 0.09
Drayton Florence CAR 14 45.50 0.08 51.50 0.09
Antonio Cromartie NYJ 16 67.50 0.07 78.50 0.08
Brice McCain HST 16 41.50 0.07 44.50 0.08

 


K. Smelser About K. Smelser

Kelly Smelser is Owner/Senior Writer for Punch Drunk Wonderland and PDFantasy Sports. Architect of the PDW fantasy football world and general spinster of NFL and Fantasy Football news and analysis. Long walks on the beach, sunsets, and other such niceties are also fine…

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