Punch Drunk Wonderland

Why You Should Draft Running Backs From Teams With Efficient Passing Offenses

For as much as we call today’s NFL a “passing league”, the running back has been a big part of the passing game for decades. That said, efficiency breeds efficiency and running backs from teams with efficient passing offenses can be key in fantasy football. Part of the reason is because those teams are going to more effectively involve the back in the passing game, and part of the reason is fundamentals of the team’s offensive design.  At the end of the day you want your fantasy players to score touchdowns and running backs who are frequently relied on to punch it in both by rushing and receiving can be the golden ticket to fantasy success.

Our friends at numberFire.com have taken a look at why running backs on teams with efficient passing offenses are ultimately valuable. Enjoy.

It’s easy to fall in love with a player who’s bound to see volume in fantasy football. That, of course, is the first thing you look for when you’re evaluating the outlook of a particular player before a season begins.

But fantasy football’s scoring still, and more than likely always will, skew towards the always seemingly unpredictable touchdown. Mike Alstott made a living in fake football by punching it in on the goal line, making him significant in fantasy nearly every year from 1997 to 2002 despite seeing 200-plus carries just twice. In 2005, Jerome Bettis’ final season in the league, the Steelers’ back saw the end zone nine times, on just a little over 100 carries. He still finished as an RB3 because of his touchdown relevancy.

In 2013, the only running back who finished in the top 10 in standard scoring leagues without at least nine rushing touchdowns was Chris Johnson. And conversely, the only player who finished outside the top 10 at the position with nine or more ground scores was Frank Gore.

Touchdowns matter. A lot.

Historical goal line use, body size, competition, coaching tendencies – each of those things go into formulating a projection for rushing touchdowns by a running back. One aspect that seems to go unnoticed, however, is how effective a particular running back’s passing game is.

Continue reading at numberFire.com… (@numberfire)


K. Smelser About K. Smelser
Kelly Smelser is Owner/Senior Writer for Punch Drunk Wonderland and PDFantasy Sports. Architect of the PDW fantasy football world and general spinster of NFL and Fantasy Football news and analysis. Long walks on the beach, sunsets, and other such niceties are also fine...