Punch Drunk Wonderland

Percy Harvin’s Return to Fantasy Football Relevancy

It’s been two seasons since Percy Harvin has had any kind of real fantasy football relevance. Injury and other woes limited his production in Seattle and we have been waiting to see what happens with Percy with the Jets. Despite being on a team with a horrendous offense, Harvin has shown flashes this season. Could he be re-emerging as a fantasy relevant receiver? Our friends at numberFire.com have taken a look.

The New York Jets are not good at football. This will not be news to you because you are a fully functioning human being. This cannot necessarily be said of all players on the Jets’ roster.

While this is bad for the Jets, it can be good for you. The Jets’ offensive ineptitudes can lead to the under-valuation of their players when it comes to the fake version of the game they sometimes pretend to play. One of these players is William Percy Harvin III.

Little Percy has had himself a weird season. He went from the gifted rich of the West to the wicked glitch of the East. He has, in essence, had three bye weeks (one with the Seahawks, one with the Jets, and then Week 7, in which he was traded after the Jets’ game but before the Seahawks’). And his production has dwarfed in comparison to the numbers he posted the last time he had a significant stretch of health.

This weirdness has made Percy completely fall through the cracks of fantasy football. It’s time to exploit this strangeness and squeeze the value out this puppy before it’s too late. Allow me to show you how Percy has suddenly gone from bust to boom in the fantasy realm.

Harvin’s First Three Jets’ Contests

Harvin’s raw numbers with the Jets post-trade are fairly meh. Through three games, Harvin has 17 receptions for 174 yards to go with 11 rushes for 69 yards and zero touchdowns in either department.

A majority of those yards came in a vintage Lamborghini Percy performance in Week 9. Against the Chiefs, Harvin caught 11 of 13 targets for 129 yards while adding eight yards on the ground. That was what owners were expecting from him when they spent the average of a sixth-round pick in both standard and PPR re-draft leagues. However, that’s the only time Harvin has had more than 100 yards this entire season.

In the other two games, Harvin had a total of 6 receptions for 45 yards while rushing for 61. If that screams “Savior!” to you, you should probably stop snorting chopped up Justin Hunter rookie cards and put the glue away.

There is an explanation for each of these performances, though. In Week 8, Harvin had been a member of the Jets for about 8.5 days. Not exactly conducive to taking a dump on the opposition.

In Week 10, the Jets had a lead. a lead. I’ll allow you to climb off of the floor before I continue as I understand your surprise. This led to Michael Vick only throwing the ball 18 times. He targeted Harvin on 27.8 percent of those attempts. It’s safe to say the Jets won’t often be in a situation in which they run the ball two thirds of the time. That will lead to additional opportunities for Harvin as a receiver.

Even with the Jets going heavy-run, they still found a way to get Harvin the ball nine times. Now, the team has had a bye to find new ways to integrate Harvin in the offense. Harvin played 52 percent of the offense’s snaps in Week 8; that rose to 84 percent in Week 9 and 68 percent in the run-heavy Week 10. His 40 snaps in Week 10 were just two less than Eric Decker and 21 more than any other receiver on the team.

If you’re still worried about his involvement offensively, rest easy, my dear friend. If it’s his effectiveness that bunches your breeches, let us now delve a little deeper into what our little amigo brings to Gang Green.

Continue reading at numberFire.com… (@numberfire)


K. Smelser About K. Smelser
Kelly Smelser is Owner/Senior Writer for Punch Drunk Wonderland and PDFantasy Sports. Architect of the PDW fantasy football world and general spinster of NFL and Fantasy Football news and analysis. Long walks on the beach, sunsets, and other such niceties are also fine...