Punch Drunk Wonderland

2015 IDP Mock Draft Analysis: ADP top 100 through 10 mocks

It’s mid June and the Getting Defensive IDP Mock Drafts are rolling along. The 2015 season is looming and OTAs have given us an early look into the rosters of each team. The draft data is beginning to take a more solid shape as we roll through them in the offseason and now is a good time to take another look at ADP data and trends from the drafts thus far. Below is a look at the Top 100 defensive players based on ADP data through 10 mocks.

luke-kuechly-02These are 20-round mocks that feature all defensive players. The draft is approached as a redraft style draft, so there are no necessary dynasty considerations. For these mocks the scoring system is the PDW IDP Scoring System (you can find the specific MyFantasyLeague scoring rules for a mock here). Each mock has 12 participating franchises. One of the 12 mocking franchises is an ADP Bot configured to auto-pick based on ADP data gathered thus far in the Getting Defensive IDP Mocks. You can find a link to a full rundown of all data gathered in these mocks below.

Getting Defensive IDP Mock ADP Data

Below are the top 100 IDP player rankings through 5 mock drafts. The rankings are based off of an ADP Value (ADPV) determined by adding draft position from each draft (1.02, 2.11, etc.) and dividing by the number of mocks conducted. If a player was not selected in a mock he is given a value of “21.00″, so the highest possible selection value is 1.01 and the lowest is 21.00. In addition to ADPV you can also find the Highest Draft Position and Lowest Draft Position thus far for each player. (The table is sortable)

Note: There are some errors/anomalies in the draft data such as Chris Borland still finding his way into the rankings despite being retired, but these will work their way out as the offseason mock drafts continue. 

Thanks to Ross Miles, Gary Davenport, Walton Spurlin, Mike Woellert, Steve Shulz, Eric BreezeBruce KimbroughJohn Orr, Brandon Bee and the many others that have helped keep these mocks rolling.

Rank Player/Tm./Pos. ADPV Highest Lowest
1 Watt, J.J. HOU DE 1.010 1.01 1.01
2 Kuechly, Luke CAR LB 1.027 1.02 1.05
3 David, Lavonte TBB LB 1.032 1.02 1.05
4 Quinn, Robert STL DE 1.053 1.02 1.10
5 Mosley, C.J. BAL LB 1.058 1.04 1.08
6 Levy, DeAndre DET LB 1.060 1.02 1.08
7 Pierre-Paul, Jason NYG DE 1.066 1.03 1.10
8 Wagner, Bobby SEA LB 1.074 1.05 1.10
9 Bowman, Navorro SFO LB 1.286 1.06 2.08
10 Jones, Chandler NEP DE 1.374 1.05 2.03
11 Collins, Jamie NEP LB 1.288 1.08 2.02
12 Kendricks, Mychal PHI LB 1.474 1.09 2.07
13 Ogletree, Alec STL LB 1.682 1.09 2.10
14 Alonso, Kiko PHI LB 1.856 1.11 2.09
15 Posluszny, Paul JAC LB 1.864 1.08 2.08
16 Marshall, Brandon DEN LB 1.963 1.09 3.01
17 Houston, Justin KCC LB 2.148 2.01 3.03
18 Griffen, Everson MIN DE 2.236 2.01 3.03
19 Campbell, Calais ARI DE 2.265 2.02 3.11
20 Miller, Von DEN LB 2.177 1.10 3.08
21 Worrilow, Paul ATL LB 2.271 2.01 3.08
22 Shazier, Ryan PIT LB 2.373 2.02 3.10
23 Burfict, Vontaze CIN LB 2.673 2.05 4.05
24 Mack, Khalil OAK LB 2.854 2.04 4.03
25 Smith, Harrison MIN S 2.863 2.07 3.11
26 Dunlap, Carlos CIN DE 2.953 2.08 5.01
27 Ansah, Ezekiel DET DE 2.960 2.07 4.08
28 Smith, Telvin JAC LB 3.072 2.06 6.10
29 Richardson, Sheldon NYJ DE 3.283 2.03 5.08
30 Wilkerson, Muhammad NYJ DE 3.446 3.04 5.04
31 Robinson, Keenan WAS LB 3.655 3.01 4.11
32 Burnett, Morgan GBP S 3.863 3.07 5.05
33 Jenkins, Jelani MIA LB 3.868 3.05 5.06
34 Donald, Aaron STL DT 3.971 2.11 6.07
35 Wake, Cameron MIA DE 4.356 3.06 5.10
36 Lee, Sean DAL LB 4.463 3.07 6.10
37 Mayo, Jerod NEP LB 3.275 2.04 5.03
38 Suh, Ndamukong MIA DT 5.071 4.08 6.08
39 Lofton, Curtis OAK LB 3.657 2.02 7.11
40 Timmons, Lawrence PIT LB 3.845 3.04 5.07
41 Jackson, D’Qwell IND LB 3.955 3.01 6.08
42 Ninkovich, Rob NEP DE 4.059 2.12 5.05
43 Dansby, Karlos CLE LB 4.060 3.05 5.03
44 Laurinaitis, James STL LB 4.148 3.01 6.08
45 Cyprien, Johnathan JAC S 4.168 3.04 5.04
46 Hughes, Jerry BUF LB 4.175 3.03 6.12
47 Williams, Mario BUF LB 4.175 3.06 9.08
48 Matthews, Clay GBP LB 4.274 2.12 8.04
49 Hardy, Greg DAL DE 4.568 2.11 7.12
50 Johnson, Derrick KCC LB 4.663 2.10 7.02
51 Moore, Sio OAK LB 4.675 4.08 6.07
52 Weddle, Eric SDC S 4.975 4.10 6.01
53 Casey, Jurrell TEN DE 5.178 4.06 7.02
54 Barr, Anthony MIN LB 5.254 3.09 8.03
55 Kendricks, Eric MIN LB (R) 5.270 3.10 7.07
56 Vernon, Olivier MIA DE 5.369 4.10 7.11
57 Jones, Reshad MIA S 5.562 4.04 7.05
58 Jordan, Cameron NOS DE 5.759 4.07 7.07
59 Trevathan, Danny DEN LB 5.769 4.09 7.10
60 McDonald, T.J. STL S 5.776 5.05 7.10
61 Cox, Fletcher PHI DE 5.859 4.09 7.11
62 McCoy, Gerald TBB DT 5.965 5.02 7.11
63 Davis, Demario NYJ LB 6.058 4.12 8.02
64 Dareus, Marcell BUF DE 6.077 5.06 7.04
65 Bennett, Michael SEA DE 6.169 5.02 7.11
66 Clinton-Dix, Ha Ha GBP S 6.178 5.09 8.01
67 Smith, Daryl BAL LB 6.286 2.12 9.06
68 Bradham, Nigel BUF LB 6.460 3.07 9.02
69 Liuget, Corey SDC DE 6.655 4.03 9.01
70 Brown, Preston BUF LB 6.680 5.08 10.09
71 Branch, Tyvon KCC S 6.682 6.01 8.03
72 Borland, Chris FA LB 6.745 3.01 21.00
73 Chancellor, Kam SEA S 6.760 5.09 7.10
74 Johnson, Charles CAR DE 6.858 5.11 8.10
75 Marks, Sen’Derrick JAC DT 7.072 5.09 8.12
76 Tulloch, Stephen DET LB 7.149 4.04 12.07
77 Harris, David NYJ LB 7.263 4.04 11.01
78 Lawrence, Demarcus DAL DE 7.462 4.06 15.05
79 Williamson, Avery TEN LB 7.474 6.04 9.12
80 Freeman, Jerrell IND LB 7.568 5.07 10.09
81 Church, Barry DAL S 7.670 6.03 9.06
82 McCourty, Jason TEN CB 7.761 6.11 9.05
83 Heyward, Cameron PIT DE 7.845 7.05 10.08
84 Johnson, Rashad ARI S 7.870 7.04 9.11
85 Woodson, Charles OAK S 8.058 6.01 9.12
86 Ware, Demarcus DEN LB 8.152 5.06 14.05
87 Mathieu, Tyrann ARI S 8.162 7.04 10.09
88 Haden, Joe CLE CB 8.268 7.09 10.11
89 Hankins, Johnathan NYG DT 8.365 7.05 11.05
90 Wright, K.J. SEA LB 8.772 7.01 15.09
91 Atkins, Geno CIN DT 8.855 8.05 11.03
92 Fuller, Kyle CHI CB 8.955 8.01 10.10
93 Thomas, Earl SEA S 8.970 7.11 12.06
94 Amukamara, Prince NYG CB 9.142 6.03 10.05
95 Kerrigan, Ryan WAS LB 9.355 4.11 15.08
96 Dawson, Paul CIN LB (R) 9.368 7.07 13.02
97 Allen, Jared CHI LB 9.370 5.06 21.00
98 Greenway, Chad MIN LB 9.381 6.05 13.08
99 Cushing, Brian HOU LB 9.462 6.05 12.03
100 Griffin, Michael TEN S 9.481 7.08 12.02

 

Retired

Pending suspension

 

K. Smelser About K. Smelser
Kelly Smelser is Owner/Senior Writer for Punch Drunk Wonderland and PDFantasy Sports. Architect of the PDW fantasy football world and general spinster of NFL and Fantasy Football news and analysis. Long walks on the beach, sunsets, and other such niceties are also fine...

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