Punch Drunk Wonderland

Fantasy Deep Sleepers for Week 10

Via our friends at numberFire.


Jay Cutler, Chicago Bears (Owned in 3.6% of ESPN Leagues)

This week, Jay Cutler draws a great matchup against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. The over/under of 45 isn’t great, and the fact that the Chicago Bears are 1.5-point underdogs gives them just an implied team total of 21.75, but the Buccaneers rank 28th against fantasy quarterbacks, per our DFS tools. They’re the 9th-best matchup of Week 10 based on Adjusted Defensive Passing Net Expected Points (NEP). If you’re digging deep for a quarterback this week, Cutler is your man.

Running Back

Paul Perkins, New York Giants (4.3%)

It’s a bit concerning that Paul Perkins played just 34% of the New York Giants‘ snaps last week, per FantasyData, and Rashad Jennings played 58%, but he got identical carries (11), targets (3), and receptions (3). Neither scored, but Perkins mustered 47 yards, and Jennings garnered 38. We can’t really look to that and deduce much, but it’s looking as if Perkins can be on the low end of a 60-40 split — at worst. The Giants are 2.5-point underdogs against the Cincinnati Bengals this week, but it’s tough to ignore double-digit touch potential at this ownership.

C.J. Prosise, Seattle Seahawks (22.8%)

Until C.J. Prosise sees a surge in ownership, he’s going to be a deep sleeper candidate given his receiving ability. In Week 9, he totaled just 15 yards on 4 touches, so this probably isn’t the showing that will lead to a spike in ownership levels. But Prosise actually played 55% of the snaps against the Buffalo Bills in Week 9, and Christine Michael played 38%.

The Seattle Seahawks are 7.5-point underdogs on a shortened week (they played Monday night) against the New England Patriots, who are coming off a bye week. That points to a need for increased passing, and Prosise should benefit. Plus, if 50% of the snaps become the norm, he’ll be an easy play in PPR formats on a nearly weekly basis.

Wide Receiver

J.J. Nelson, Arizona Cardinals (9.9%)

The Arizona Cardinals have always been tough to figure out from a wide receiver standpoint, but it would have been a tough sell before the season to suggest that, in Week 8, J.J. Nelson would have played 92% of the snaps, Larry Fitzgerald would have played 79%, John Brown¬†would play 54%, and Michael Floyd would get just 41%. But that’s our reality.

Nelson drew a team high 12 targets in Week 8, and he probably isn’t going anywhere, as head coach Bruce Arians named him a starter. The Cardinals are 13-point favorites over the San Francisco 49ers, so they probably won’t be throwing much in the second half. Still, you can get access to a starting receiver, who has double-digit target upside, on a team with a 30.5-point implied team total.

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