Punch Drunk Wonderland

Week 8 Waiver Wire Targets

Each week throughout the 2017 season PDW will be posting a list of those players worth targeting on your weekly waiver wire. These lists will be made up from PDW contributors as well as fantasy partner content. Please check back weekly for the hot pickups. 

This week’s Waiver Wire Targets courtesy of our friends at numberFire.

Demarcus Robinson, WR, Kansas City Chiefs

Yahoo Ownership Percentage: 0%

In the two games the Chiefs have played without Chris Conley, Demarcus Robinson has been a quiet producer. He managed just 1 reception on 5 targets for 16 yards during Week 6, but he bumped up that production Thursday against the Raiders, grabbing 5 receptions on 8 targets for 69 yards.

In fact, in that same two-game span, Robinson’s 13 targets are the second-most on the team, ahead of elite tight end Travis Kelce. This is no coincidence, either — after playing over 90 percent of offensive snaps in Week 6, Robinson was on the field for 98.4 percent of Kansas City’s offensive snaps in Week 7.

So what does this mean for your fantasy team? Well, Robinson is playing darn near every snap on a prolific offense and is demanding a significant target share. In other words, you should scoop Robinson up before he starts scoring touchdowns.

Theo Riddick, RB, Detroit Lions

Yahoo Ownership Percentage: 38%

There’s no beating around the bush here. Theo Riddick has had a disappointing start to the 2017 season for fantasy purposes. Heading into the Lions’ Week 7 bye, he had broken double digits just once and appeared to take a back seat to Ameer Abdullah.

The good news is that a new spot just opened up for Riddick in the slot. With slot receiver Golden Tate slated to miss at least the next few games, Riddick could vacuum up Tate’s old targets from the slot.

Let’s not forget that he had multiple games with seven or more targets out of the backfield last season. Tate’s injury opens up an opportunity for Riddick to receive a similar workload in the receiving game to the one he received in 2016, making him a valuable add in any PPR formats.

<p “=””>With the Lions scheduled to face the Pittsburgh Steelers in Week 8, Riddick is a top add from the waiver wire this week.

Josh Doctson, WR, Washington Redskins

Yahoo Ownership Percentage: 12%

He’s had a slow start to his career, but Josh Doctson is starting to make an impact in the NFL and has managed to score a touchdown in two of his last three games.

Unfortunately, that’s about all he’s done in that period of time. He’s only recorded four receptions on eight targets during that span, so he isn’t exactly setting the world on fire. There’s reason for optimism, though.

Head coach Jay Gruden recently stated that he wants to get Doctson more involved, and while that may just be “coach-speak”, there may be reasons to believe him. Our metrics indicate that Docston is a more efficient receiver than his teammates, evidenced by having a higher Reception Net Expected Points(NEP) per target and Reception Success Rate than any other Washington receiver.

Reception NEP per target captures how many points a receiver is expected to add to his team’s score each time he receives a target, while Reception Success Rate captures how often a wide receiver positively influences his team’s NEP when he catches a pass. Doctson’s 1.02 Reception NEP per target and 100 percent Success Rate are better marks than either Terrelle Pryor orJamison Crowder.

Doctson is a player to watch in tonight’s game but will be worth a pickup for anyone looking for a high-upside stash whether or not he scores again.

D’Onta Foreman, RB, Houston Texans

Yahoo Ownership Percentage: 13%

D’Onta Foreman has been a frustrating player to own this year, which definitely helps explain his low ownership percentage. Each time Lamar Miller appears to falter, he recovers in the next game. Each time Foreman flashes, Miller shines right back.

So why recommend Foreman now? Despite the fact the he is clearly the second back in the Texans’ rotation, Foreman is still commanding carries — he’s received double-digit carries in three of his six games this season.

That workload is just one injury away from increasing substantially, and the player standing in his way is at quite a high risk of injury. Foreman is a weak RB3/Flex play right now, but if anything happens to Miller,he’d immediately become the back to own in Houston.

The Texans have already called the second-most run plays in the NFL, so if the running back workload were to be consolidated into one player, that player would be extremely valuable. If you can afford to wait a couple weeks, add Foreman before it’s too late.

Continue reading at numberFire.com… (@numberfire)

 

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