Punch Drunk Wonderland

Week 11 Start ‘Em/Sit ‘Em

Russell WilsonWeek 11 is here and the fantasy playoffs are in sight. Here’s a look at some players with ideal matchups that you should start and players with the not-so-good matchups that need to stay seated for the week. Good luck in Week 11!

Quarterbacks

START ‘EM:  Russell Wilson (Seahawks vs. Vikings)

Wilson is the #3 quarterback over the last four weeks in terms of fantasy production, so he’s been as hot as it gets. He has an absolutely great matchup this week as Seattle faces a Minnesota defense that is giving up the second most fantasy points to QBs per week (20.4 points on average). The hot streak is very likely to continue.

START ‘EM: Ryan Tannehill (Dolphins vs. Chargers)

I probably haven’t give Tannehill enough credit this season. He’s been doing a decent job on a team in turmoil, and his performance has been good considering how often he gets hit. He’ll be facing a Chargers defense in Week 11 that is giving up an average of 20.0 fantasy points to opposing QBs. He may not be a good start every week, but he’s worth a shot when you’re playing the matchups. He’s a good start this week.

SIT ‘EM: Terrelle Pryor (Raiders at Texans)

Pryor has been a decent fantasy play even on weeks when his passing production has been horrendous. That is owed to the fact that he picks up the slack with rushing yards. Given that he’s banged up and facing a decent Texans defense in Week 11, you may want to steer clear of him this week.  His status is still up in the air, and with his mobility in question there are definite red flags.

Running Backs

START ‘EM: Knowshon Moreno (Broncos vs. Chiefs)

The Chiefs have a tough defense, but hey haven’t faced the likes of the Denver offense yet. While being the league’s top defense, KC is giving up an average of 20 fantasy points to running backs when the team is on the road. Look for Moreno to be his typical dual threat as a runner and pass catcher, and look for him to have a big game.

START ‘EM: Andre Ellington (Cardinals at Jaguars)

It’s still a timeshare between Mendenhall and Ellington in Arizona, but Andre is clearly the back with the better upside. The Cardinals will be facing a bad Jaguars defense in Week 11, so he’s worth the play. Jacksonville is giving up an average of 22.8 fantasy points to opposing running backs for the season.

SIT ‘EM: C.J. Spiller (Bills vs. Jets)

What have things come to, C.J.? How many fantasy owners snagged up Spiller at the beginning of the season on the “run him til he pukes” rhetoric only to be sorely disappointed? Tons. I can assure you. Yours truly was burned by this nightmare scenario in multiple leagues. Anyway, it’s not looking good for C.J. in Week 11 as the Bills will face a tough Jets defense. The Jets are giving up the fourth fewest fantasy points to running backs. Combine that with the timeshare situation with Fred Jackson and it’s not a good fantasy start scenario for Spiller. Best just to steer clear.

Wide Receivers

START ‘EM: Riley Cooper (Eagles vs. Redskins)

No joke. Riley Cooper has scored over 55 fantasy points and five touchdowns over the last two weeks. The Redskins are giving up the third most fantasy points to opposing wide receivers.  Look for the passing game to be working for Nick Foles and company, and Riley could very likely have another good week.

START ‘EM: Pierre Garcon (Redskins at Eagles)

I just said to start Cooper against the ‘Skins…well, this one is going to be a shooting war. Both teams have bad pass defenses.  Garcon will be a great play as he faces an Eagles defense that is giving up the second most fantasy points to wide receivers.

SIT ‘EM: Jordy Nelson (Packers at Giants)

Things just don’t look the same for Green Bay with Tolzien under center. While Nelson remains a top receiver for the team, the matchup doesn’t look good going into Week 11. The Giants’ pass defense has been tough of late, and have allowed the second fewest fantasy points to wide receivers over the last four weeks.

Tight Ends

START ‘EM: Jordan Reed (Redskins at Eagles)

I love this kid. Reed has been the top scoring tight end in football over the last four weeks. The matchup versus the Eagles is decent, and going with the hot hand in this case is a smart move.  I have him ranked as my #3 TE in standard format and #2 in PPR for Week 11. Look for Reed to have another good week.

SIT ‘EM: Tony Gonzalez (Falcons at Bucs)

Gonzalez has been having an ok year, but he’s been banged up of late. While the Tampa Bay defense ranks in the middle of the pack in terms of giving up points to opposing tight ends, they’ve always seemed to have the Atlanta TE’s number. Over the last five years of matchups with the Bucs, Gonzalez hasn’t topped 100 yards and has only scored 1 touchdown.  Be wary of his bad mojo against the Tampa.

Defense/Special Teams

START ‘EM: Cardinals D/ST vs. Jaguars

The matchup train rolls on, and it’s always smart to start the defenses that face the Jags. The Cardinals defense has been solid this season, and they will be facing a Jacksonville team that is giving up an average of 15 points per game to opposing defenses.

SIT ‘EM: Ravens D/ST at Bears

The Baltimore defense hasn’t been the force that it once was, and up until last week they hadn’t put up more than 10 fantasy points in a week. That said, they had a nice week last week. Don’t expect the same results in Week 11 as they face a Chicago Bears team that has been stingy in terms of allowing defensive and special teams fantasy scoring of late.

 


K. Smelser About K. Smelser
Kelly Smelser is Owner/Senior Writer for Punch Drunk Wonderland and PDFantasy Sports. Architect of the PDW fantasy football world and general spinster of NFL and Fantasy Football news and analysis. Long walks on the beach, sunsets, and other such niceties are also fine...

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