Punch Drunk Wonderland

Week 3 Fantasy Preview: Raiders at Broncos on MNF

Peyton ManningThere’s one game left in Week 3, and that is the Monday Night Football AFC West matchup between the Oakland Raiders and Denver Broncos. This one could get ugly as the Broncos have been red hot and the Raiders have been…well…not.  For those that are waiting with bated breath to see their fantasy outcomes determined by key players in this game, I figured we’d do a quick fantasy preview going into MNF. Here’s a look at key players and matchups.

Broncos

Peyton Manning (QB)

Manning has been in career form through two games in 2013. Going into tonight’s matchup he has thrown for 769 yards and 9 touchdowns with a completion rate of 67.1% and QB rating of 131.0. Through TWO games! He’s been a real-life and fantasy monster. Expect more of the same as Manning will likely carve up the Oakland defense. (Fantasy Prediction:  22 points)

Demaryius Thomas (WR)

Manning’s favorite big man on the outside, Thomas has looked good so far this year. After two games he’s had 10 receptions for 213 yards and 2 touchdowns. The Raiders are giving up an average of 18.3 fantasy points to wide receivers, so it could be a good night for Thomas. (Fantasy Prediction: 14 points)

Wes Welker (WR)

Manning has a ton of targets and it’s likely they’ll all be involved.  From a fantasy perspective that can be frustrating because you never know who will be THE GUY from week to week. That said, Welker is sure to get plenty of targets and will be a key piece in beating up on the Raiders defense. (Fantasy Prediction:  12 points)

Julius Thomas (TE)

Orange Julius had a monster Week 1 and a bit of a comparative disappointing Week 2. That said, he’s an important piece in this offense and he’ll get the targets. He’s particularly a strong redzone target. (Fantasy Prediction: 9 points)

Eric Decker (WR)

Poor Decker seems to be finding himself the odd man out when it comes to receiving targets so far in 2013. However, an odd man out that’s averaging 5.5 receptions and 58 yards per game is an alright place to be.  It all depends on the distribution of the offense on a given week, but never count Decker out. (Fantasy Prediction: 5 points)

Knowshon Moreno (RB)

Despite the fact that the running back situation has been a little confusing when looking from the outside, Moreno is clearly the favored back in Denver. Thusfar in 2013 he’s had 22 carries for 121 yards and 2 touchdowns. He’s also had 6 receptions for 51 yards. He’s clearly the favorite back in terms of pass blocking, and he has breakout potential. The Raiders are giving up the fewest points to opposing running backs, but they haven’t faced a potent offense like Denver’s. Moreno should do well in a night that will feature the Broncos offense keeping the Raiders defense off balance. (Fantasy Prediction:  13 points)

Denver’s Defense/Special Teams

It’s always tough for road teams coming to the Mile High City. I’m expecting the Broncos to win big, and their defense should have a good night. There may be some garbage time points allowed and they may have occasional trouble with Terrell Pryor, but overall they should perform well. (Fantasy Prediction: 12 points)

Oakland

Terrell Pryor (QB)

The young QB is going to have his hands full tonight. Unfortunately, if he wants to win this will have to be a shootout and the Raiders are going to have to put a lot of points on the board. That might be too tall of an order for Pryor. He’s a threat on the ground and has big play potential. While the Broncos are in the middle of the league when it comes to fantasy points allowed to opposing quarterbacks, they can have problems with a mobile passer like Pryor. (Fantasy Prediction: 16 points)

darren-mcfadden-raidersDarren McFadden (RB)

McFadden has been hot and cold this year, and the fear is that he’s always a game away from another injury. He wasn’t very effective versus the Colts in Week 1, but ran over the sorry Jaguars in Week 2. The Broncos are giving up an average of 18.5 fantasy points to opposing running backs, so that’s a bright sign for McFadden. The running threat of Pryor also could potentially help, but it also means Denver could be stacking the box. He’s a risk, but I expect him to have a relatively average day. (Fantasy Prediction: 10 points)

Oakland’s Defense/Special Teams

Don’t do it. Defenses are averaging -5.0 points against the Broncos. That’s worst in the league.

 


K. Smelser About K. Smelser
Kelly Smelser is Owner/Senior Writer for Punch Drunk Wonderland and PDFantasy Sports. Architect of the PDW fantasy football world and general spinster of NFL and Fantasy Football news and analysis. Long walks on the beach, sunsets, and other such niceties are also fine...

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